Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 80.73%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 7.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.37%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.