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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Levi's Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Earthquakes
3 - 1
Los Angeles

Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 3-2 Portland
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Los Angeles FC

Both teams have had their defensive woes of late, and we expect neither to come away with a clean sheet here. We are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
40.37% (0.128 0.13) 26.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 33.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 52.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.012999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.012 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.072999999999993 0.07)25.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (0.101 0.1)60.13% (-0.1 -0.1)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)29.48% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)65.49% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.37%
    Los Angeles FC 33.29%
    Draw 26.33%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.29%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Los Angeles

San Jose Earthquakes
12.5%
Draw
37.5%
Los Angeles FC
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
May 28, 2022 11pm
Los Angeles
3-2
Earthquakes
Arango (8' pen.), Hollingshead (13'), Rodriguez (47')
Rodriguez (19'), Musovski (76'), Acosta (77'), Crisostomo (90+4')
Ebobisse (16', 31')
Espinoza (17')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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