We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 St Louis City
St. Louis still have a slim chance of making it to the playoffs, giving them something to play for compared to San Jose, who are already out of contention.
Although the visitors have dominated this fixture in the past, their away form leaves much to be desired, and that is why we believe the best they can hope for in this match is a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.37%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.42%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.