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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Toronto FC

Montreal
1 - 0
Toronto

MacNaughton (69' og.)
Miller (57'), Brault-Guillard (87')
Miller (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bradley (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

Last Six:
Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Toronto

Last Six:
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-0 Toronto
Thursday, July 14 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 2-1 Toronto

 Even without Mihailovic, Montreal should not have any problems finding a way through a defence who have conceded the second-most goals in MLS (38) and are not as great in attacking third on the road as they are at home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawToronto
62.2% (2.908 2.91) 20.46% (-0.697 -0.7) 17.33% (-2.209 -2.21)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-1.834 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.34% (-0.406 -0.41)40.65% (0.408 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)63.04% (0.419 0.42)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.72 0.72)12.53% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.44% (1.471 1.47)38.56% (-1.467 -1.47)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (-2.638 -2.64)36.85% (2.642 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.37% (-2.728 -2.73)73.63% (2.732 2.73)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 62.2%
    Toronto 17.33%
    Draw 20.46%
CF MontrealDrawToronto
2-0 @ 9.96% (0.701 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.43 0.43)
3-0 @ 6.89% (0.657 0.66)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.58% (0.427 0.43)
4-1 @ 3.57% (0.193 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.49% (0.213 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.48% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 62.2%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.363 -0.36)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.086 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.46%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.49 -0.49)
0-1 @ 4.61% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.306 -0.31)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.253 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.294 -0.29)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 17.33%

How you voted: Montreal vs Toronto

CF Montreal
84.6%
Draw
3.8%
Toronto
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
Toronto
1-1
Montreal
Altidore (90+5')
Mullins (6'), Okello (53'), Osorio (58'), Shaffelburg (64')
Sunusi (55')
Piette (58')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
3-1
Toronto
Piette (23'), Torres (68'), Quioto (75')
Struna (9'), Piette (34'), Camacho (47')
Achara (58')
Lawrence (60'), Gonzalez (74')
Okello (5')
Apr 17, 2021 7pm
Montreal
4-2
Toronto
Toye (3'), Quioto (24'), Wanyama (55'), Mihailovic (71')
Wanyama (67')
Delgado (45' pen.), Laryea (88')
Bradley (19'), Priso-Mbongue (45+1')
Sep 10, 2020 1am
Montreal
1-2
Toronto
Wanyama (53')
Piatti (32'), Altidore (89')
Sep 2, 2020 1am
Toronto
0-1
Montreal

Pozuelo (59')
Camacho (14')
Camacho (45'), Brault-Guillard (46'), Wanyama (52'), Taider (88'), Maciel (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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