Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 0-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
