Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 73.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 10.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
