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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jun 25, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Inter Miami

Philadelphia
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Glesnes (14'), Carranza (39'), Flach (45+4'), Ruiz (68' og.)
Uhre (15'), Andres Martinez (24')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Taylor (50')
Robinson (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 2-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, June 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Inter Miami

Inter Miami can draw optimism from their victory over Philadelphia earlier this season, but keeping the ball out of the net has been one of the main factors behind their downfall since then, and they may struggle to cope with a lethal Union attack, which has scored in 10 of the last 11 games, on Sunday.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawInter Miami
68.57% (-1.507 -1.51) 19.01% (0.778 0.78) 12.42% (0.732 0.73)
Both teams to score 47.65% (-0.27699999999999 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (-1.612 -1.61)44.39% (1.613 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (-1.58 -1.58)66.76% (1.583 1.58)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.13% (-0.858 -0.86)11.87% (0.86 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.83% (-1.864 -1.86)37.17% (1.865 1.87)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.07% (0.211 0.21)45.93% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.33% (0.163 0.16)81.67% (-0.161 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 68.57%
    Inter Miami 12.42%
    Draw 19.01%
Philadelphia UnionDrawInter Miami
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 8.79% (-0.299 -0.3)
3-1 @ 6.84% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-0 @ 4.69% (-0.33 -0.33)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2% (-0.216 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.158 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 68.57%
1-1 @ 9.04% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.372 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.75% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 19.01%
0-1 @ 4.24% (0.313 0.31)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.164 0.16)
0-2 @ 1.65% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.91% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 12.42%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Inter Miami

Philadelphia Union
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Inter Miami
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Philadelphia
Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')
May 19, 2022 12.30am
Jul 26, 2021 12.30am
Apr 25, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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