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Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 at 1.15am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami
0 - 1
NY Red Bulls


Miller (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barlow (52')
Duncan (8'), Lesesne (9'), Harper (61'), Reyes (70')
Harper (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-0 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 28 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Inter Miami may be propping up the Eastern Conference, but with four wins from their last five competitive home games, they will be hoping to make home advantage count on Wednesday. The visitors, meanwhile, are searching for their first away win in MLS since beating Montreal in September, and we think that their struggles on the road could play into the hands of Inter Miami.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York Red Bulls and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
35.15% (-0.13 -0.13) 26.81% (0.026 0.03) 38.03% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (-0.12 -0.12)53.66% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (-0.101 -0.1)75.16% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.13799999999999 -0.14)29.12% (0.134 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)65.05% (0.167 0.17)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (0.0019999999999953 0)62.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 35.15%
    New York Red Bulls 38.03%
    Draw 26.81%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 38.03%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY Red Bulls

Inter Miami
66.7%
Draw
19.0%
New York Red Bulls
14.3%
21
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 12am
NY Red Bulls
3-1
Inter Miami
Morgan (43'), Edelman (53'), Clark (74')
Duncan (36'), Long (42'), Tolkin (80')
Duncan (70')
Higuain (19')
Mota (34')
Pozuelo (29')
May 22, 2022 11pm
Inter Miami
2-0
NY Red Bulls
Lassiter (29'), Taylor (88')
Gregore (23'), Vassilev (54')

Long (60'), Nealis (81'), Nealis (90+2')
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Sep 18, 2021 12am
gameweek 33
Inter Miami
0-4
NY Red Bulls

Figal (10'), Gonzalez Pirez (20'), Higuain (45+1')
Figal (38')
Klimala (18'), Fernandez (31'), Gomes (65', 89')
Edwards (57'), Barlow (81'), Harper (86')
Oct 8, 2020 12am
gameweek 15
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Inter Miami
Fernandez (54')
Nealis (36'), Pendant (75'), Long (90')
Pellegrini (55'), Higuain (81')
Carranza (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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