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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Apr 16, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Seattle Sounders

Portland
4 - 1
Seattle

Asprilla (71'), Fogaca (76'), Niezgoda (81'), David Mosquera (89')
Chara (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ruidiaz (58')
Paulo (44'), Roldan (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 1-0 Portland
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Seattle Sounders

All competitions
Last Game: Seattle 3-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 9 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 0-2 Seattle Sounders

 Seattle Sounders have made an excellent start to the season, particularly impressing in the 3-0 victory against St Louis City last time out, and we expect them to put their bad recent record against Portland Timbers behind them this weekend. Jordan Morris has been in fantastic form, with eight MLS goals up to this point, and the striker could be the difference-maker in attack, while the defence has been solid enough to indicate Seattle are likely to get a clean sheet.

How to watch

You can watch Portland Timbers vs. Seattle Sounders and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
43.12% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04) 25.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 30.92% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.87% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)51.13% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)72.98% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)23.57% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)57.63% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.63% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 43.11%
    Seattle Sounders 30.92%
    Draw 25.95%
Portland TimbersDrawSeattle Sounders
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 43.11%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.22% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.05% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.92%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3am
Portland
2-1
Seattle
Asprilla (41' pen.), Blanco (51')
Blanco (11'), Williamson (45+2'), McGraw (78')
Gomez Andrade (8')
Lodeiro (20'), Leyva (23')
Jul 9, 2022 9.30pm
Seattle
0-3
Portland

Ragen (45+2'), Roldan (70'), Tolo (81')
Ragen (46')
Niezgoda (24'), Moreno (82' pen.), Paredes (85')
Williamson (6'), Chara (57'), Asprilla (85'), Chara (87')
Aug 30, 2021 3.30am
Seattle
0-2
Portland
Blanco (58'), Mora (90+5')
van Rankin (44'), Valeri (76')
Aug 16, 2021 3am
Portland
2-6
Seattle
Blanco (32'), Fochive (52')
Mabiala (54'), Zuparic (66'), Paredes (76')
Montero (13', 29'), Ruidiaz (55', 72'), Medranda (77'), Benezet (90+4')
Paulo (69')
May 9, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-2
Seattle
Tuiloma (90+4')
Loria (21')
Ruidiaz (63' pen.), Montero (79')
Tolo (17'), Delem (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
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