We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver still have a lot of fight left in them, but they struggle away from home, losing five matches versus teams currently below the playoff line heading into this weekend, and it seems as though the weight of expectations have finally got the better of them.
With the stakes not quite as high for the Quakes given their current standing, we anticipate they will play with a lot more poise on Sunday against a team that the Goonies have fared well against at home.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
1.15) 
-0.2) 
