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Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Jan 6, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Inter logo

1-3

Milik (39')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lukaku (14', 33'), Martinez (62')

Preview: Napoli vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Napoli's meeting with Inter Milan in Serie A on Monday, including a prediction, team news and predicted lineups.

Gennaro Gattuso faces his biggest challenge yet as Napoli boss when Inter Milan travel to San Paolo on Monday night in Serie A.

The home side are looking to find some form following the sacking of Carlo Ancelotti, while Inter are flying high at the top of the league table.


Match preview

Napoli's Hirving Lozano celebrates scoring their first goal on November 5, 2019© Reuters

For Napoli, a team that always inhabits the top four, this season has been one of reckoning - a period in which the club has had to make a painful reappraisal of where they are going.

Marooned in eighth spot in Serie A, Napoli have not just failed to claim consistent results but indeed been unable to locate any sense of attacking rhythm on the pitch.

Following the days of Maurizio Sarri, during which the Naples side played with a highly discernible tactical approach, the period under Ancelotti held witness to a number of directionless displays, with players looking stunted and attacking patterns nowhere to be seen.

Indeed, that Napoli have only won three times at home in Serie A all season indicates that this team does not have any clear blueprint on which to rely when opponents sit back and soak up pressure.

As they prepare to face the league leaders, Gattuso and his players will know that victory would galvanise not just their spirit but also provide a much-needed foundation to build from going forward.

Inter Milan's Romelu Lukaku reacts during the match against Borussia Dortmund on November 5, 2019© Reuters

In Inter, however, Napoli come up against a side playing with a real sense of confidence and swagger under Antonio Conte, who has given this team a clear backbone.

Playing with his classic three-at-the-back system, Inter have become a side capable of keeping possession as well as springing opponents in key areas of the pitch.

More pertinently, perhaps, Conte has engendered a feeling of fearlessness among these players, allowing them to believe that Juventus - so untouchable in recent years - can indeed be challenged at the top of the table.

Crucial to this attitude has been the strike partnership of Romelu Lukaku and Lautaro Martinez, who have netted a combined total of 20 league goals this term and added definition to attacking movements.

A win in Naples, where Inter have not won in Serie A for well over a decade, would only add to the club's belief that they really can win their first Scudetto since 2010.

Napoli Serie A form: DDLDLW
Napoli form (all competitions): DLDWLW

Inter Milan competition form: WWWDDW
Inter Milan (all competitions): WWDLDW


Team News

Inter Milan coach Antonio Conte reacts on November 5, 2019© Reuters

Key Napoli midfielder Fabian Ruiz is a doubt for the game due to fever, while Faouzi Ghoulam is approaching a return from a thigh problem.

Kalidou Koulibaly, who has a leg injury, will be a huge miss; Lorenzo Tonelli and Kevin Malcuit are also both out.

For Inter, Alexis Sanchez and Nicolo Barella are both back in training but will not return in time for this game.

Danilo D'Ambrosio is another player approaching a return from injury, although Kwadwo Asamoah remains some way off recovering from a knee injury sustained last month.

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Meret; Di Lorenzo, Manolas, Hysaj, Rui; Elmas, Allan, Zielinski; Insigne, Callejon, Mertens

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Bastoni, De Vrij, Skriniar; Candreva, Valero, Brozovic, Vecino, Biraghi; Martinez, Lukaku


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan

Having claimed their first win under Gattuso prior to the winter break, Napoli will come into this game with furious intensity, but the gulf in confidence - especially in the final third - between the two sides may ultimately prove to be decisive.



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Written by
Leo Nieboer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%).


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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