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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
4 - 2
Bath City

Smith (12'), Cerulli (45+1', 45+8'), Ajayi (45+6')
Barzey (30'), Tompkins (43'), Howe (72'), Woollard Innocent (79')
Barzey (37')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Humphrey Ewers (67' pen.), Parselle (71')
Clark (48'), Sweeten (67')
Wiles-Richards (29')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hampton
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBath City
38.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01) 26.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)50.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (0.013000000000002 0.01)72.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.9% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)27.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02)62.59% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 38.08%
    Bath City 35.85%
    Draw 26.06%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77%
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 38.08%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.6% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.85%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Bath City
2-0
Hemel Hemps.
Dyer (16'), Wilson (68')
Smith (90+4')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bath City
2-1
Hemel Hemps.
Fletcher (64' pen.), Smith (73')
Mantom (8')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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