Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.