Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
51.39% ( 0.39) | 24.49% ( 0.19) | 24.12% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 52.51% ( -1.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.63% ( -1.34) | 49.36% ( 1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.59% ( -1.22) | 71.41% ( 1.21) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( -0.36) | 19.2% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.11% ( -0.6) | 50.88% ( 0.59) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( -1.24) | 35% ( 1.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( -1.33) | 71.75% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Halifax Town |
1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.05% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.05% Total : 24.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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