Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
48.43% ( 1.03) | 24.52% ( -0.18) | 27.06% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( 0.17) | 47.13% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( 0.16) | 69.36% ( -0.16) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( 0.5) | 19.52% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% ( 0.81) | 51.41% ( -0.81) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.56) | 31.39% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.66) | 67.76% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 27 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 55 |
2 | York City | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 54 |
3 | Barnet | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 48 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 28 | 14 | 44 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 41 |
8 | Rochdale | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 39 |
9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 38 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 38 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 33 |
15 | Tamworth | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 33 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 30 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 29 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 43 | -22 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 1 | 9 | 18 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 12 |
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