Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.