Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 3.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
86.64% ( -0.08) | 9.46% ( 0.06) | 3.89% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.21% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.11% ( -0.25) | 29.89% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.94% ( -0.3) | 51.06% ( 0.3) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.38% ( -0.06) | 4.62% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.17% ( -0.17) | 18.83% ( 0.18) |
Yeovil Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.16% ( -0.1) | 57.84% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.49% ( -0.06) | 89.51% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
3-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 86.63% | 1-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.39% Total : 9.46% | 0-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.2% Total : 3.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |