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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Scunthorpe United

York City
0 - 0
Scunthorpe


Fallowfield (23'), Ellis (58')
FT

Rance (7'), Thompson (26'), Richards-Everton (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

We said: York City 1-0 Scunthorpe United

Scunthorpe will be reeling after their thumping by Notts County on Saturday and home advantage combined with the goalscoring prowess of John-Lewis and Forde may just give York the edge in this basement battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
46.86% (2.475 2.48) 24.86% (-0.146 -0.15) 28.28% (-2.331 -2.33)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.592 -0.59)47.79% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.547 -0.55)69.97% (0.544 0.54)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.846 0.85)20.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (1.329 1.33)52.89% (-1.331 -1.33)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.945 -1.94)30.81% (1.944 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-2.353 -2.35)67.08% (2.351 2.35)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.86%
    Scunthorpe United 28.28%
    Draw 24.86%
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 10% (0.492 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.584 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.86%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-1
York City
Apter (88')
Nuttall (45+1')
John-Lewis (23' pen.)
May 3, 2014 3pm
Oct 29, 2013 7.45pm
York City
4-1
Scunthorpe
Carson (7'), Fletcher (12'), Brobbel (20', 40')
Whitehouse (26')
Winnall (47')
Syers (27'), Dawson (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet37257579324782
2York City36218768353371
3Forest Green RoversForest Green361814455292668
4Gateshead361791065471860
5Oldham AthleticOldham361514752391359
6Halifax TownHalifax351611843331059
7AltrinchamAltrincham341510956411555
8Rochdale321571045291652
9Eastleigh361313104942752
10Southend UnitedSouthend361313104640652
11Tamworth371212134757-1048
12Sutton UnitedSutton341211114644247
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil361210144147-646
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Braintree TownBraintree36119163948-942
17Woking35914123849-1141
18Aldershot TownAldershot34913125256-440
19Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red36812164753-636
20Fylde35106194267-2536
21WealdstoneWealdstone34811154258-1635
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead3697204168-2734
23Boston UnitedBoston33610173251-1928
24Ebbsfleet37111252680-5414


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