MX23RW : Sunday, April 21 11:37:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Pride Park Stadium

Derby U21s
1 - 2
Stoke U21s

Allen (90+5')
Robinson (56'), Perry (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McGuinness (39'), Lowe (41')
Jeffers (9'), Smith (83')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby U21s 1-2 Wolves U21s
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last Game: Saints U21s 5-1 Stoke U21s
Friday, March 8 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.15%) and 2-3 (4.98%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Stoke City Under-21s in this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
37.53% (1.465 1.47) 20.74% (0.277 0.28) 41.73% (-1.741 -1.74)
Both teams to score 74.47% (-0.831 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.87% (-1.141 -1.14)24.13% (1.143 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.23% (-1.528 -1.53)43.77% (1.529 1.53)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.55% (0.045000000000002 0.05)14.44% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.61% (0.088000000000001 0.09)42.39% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.04% (-1.015 -1.02)12.96% (1.018 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.56% (-2.117 -2.12)39.44% (2.119 2.12)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 37.53%
    Stoke City Under-21s 41.73%
    Draw 20.74%
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.298 0.3)
3-2 @ 4.72% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.199 0.2)
1-0 @ 3.62% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.276 0.28)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.26% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.1 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.297 0.3)
2-2 @ 7.32% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 3.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-0 @ 1.87% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.74%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-3 @ 4.98% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.148 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.199 -0.2)
3-4 @ 1.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-4 @ 1.36% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 41.73%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2023 7pm
Derby U21s
1-6
Stoke U21s
James-Taylor (47' pen., 70'), Jeffers (49'), Holland-Wilkinson (52', 90'), McGuinness (74')
Nov 7, 2022 7pm
Stoke U21s
4-0
Derby U21s
Tezgel (4', 13'), Lowe (64'), McGuinness (87')
rhs 2.0
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