We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Everton
Even at this early stage of the season, the pressure is on both teams to kick-start their respective campaigns, as well as the two managers to gain an edge over the other. However, we can see a tense clash playing out at Villa Park, one which may end in a low-scoring share of the spoils.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.