Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
38.19% | 26.42% | 35.38% |
Both teams to score 52.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.96% | 52.03% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.23% | 73.76% |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% | 26.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% | 61.76% |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% | 63.88% |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.19% | 1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 7.48% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 6% 1-3 @ 3.36% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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