Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.