Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.25%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.