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Premier League | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester United logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Man Utd

Luiz (67')
Lenglet (45+4'), Cash (60'), Diaby (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hojlund (17'), McTominay (86')
Casemiro (37'), Mainoo (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Scott McTominay powers home an 86th-minute header as Manchester United overcome Aston Villa 2-1 to close the gap on the Lions in the Premier League table.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester United could line up for Sunday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester United's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
42.04% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 23.16% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.79% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.9% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)37.1% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.7% (-0.128 -0.13)59.3% (0.128 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)18.14% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (-0.055 -0.05)49.11% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)21.52% (0.084999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (-0.13 -0.13)54.58% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 42.04%
    Manchester United 34.79%
    Draw 23.16%
Aston VillaDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 42.04%
1-1 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-1 @ 6% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.79%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd

Aston Villa
33.5%
Draw
15.4%
Manchester United
51.0%
382
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Man Utd
3-2
Aston Villa
Garnacho (59', 71'), Hojlund (82')
Fernandes (73')
McGinn (21'), Dendoncker (26')
Ramsey (45+2'), Carlos (74'), Konsa (87')
Apr 30, 2023 2pm
Nov 10, 2022 8pm
Third Round
Man Utd
4-2
Aston Villa
Martial (49'), Rashford (67'), Fernandes (78'), McTominay (90+1')
Watkins (48'), Dalot (61' og.)
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
3-1
Man Utd
Bailey (7'), Digne (11'), Ramsey (49')
Ramsey (45' og.)
Jul 23, 2022 10.45am
Club Friendlies
Man Utd
2-2
Aston Villa
Sancho (25'), Cash (42' og.)
Chong (78'), Bailly (90+2')
Bailey (49'), Chambers (90+3')
Coutinho (13'), McGinn (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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