Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.52%) and 3-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.