Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 3-1 (5.48%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.