We said: Leicester City 1-2 Manchester City
Leicester's upturn in form, Man City's spate of goalless games away from home and concerns over Haaland's fitness makes this a far trickier game for the champions than some may have anticipated, especially with a rejuvenated Vardy seeking to continue his prolific streak against the big boys.
The Foxes' resilient defensive streak is unlikely to count for much either way, and while we have faith in Guardiola's side to get the job done, it would not be surprising to see just the one-goal margin separate the teams.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.