Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Man City2 - 1Leeds
The Match
Match Report
Ilkay Gundogan scores twice and misses a penalty as Manchester City move four points clear at the top of the Premier League table with a 2-1 win over Leeds United.
Team News
Kevin De Bruyne returns to Manchester City's starting lineup as Pep Guardiola makes seven changes for this afternoon's Premier League clash against Leeds United at the Etihad Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Leeds United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 3-0 West Ham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-1 Leeds
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 4.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 4-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (1.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 86.07% | 9.26% ( 0) | 4.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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