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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Nottingham Forest logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Harrison (20'), Sinisterra (45+1')
Summerville (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mangala (12')
Williams (8'), Johnson (65'), Felipe (84'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United climb out of the Premier League relegation zone after coming from behind to beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
54.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 24.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.28% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)50.29% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-0.026 -0.03)72.24% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 54.71%
    Nottingham Forest 21.28%
    Draw 24%
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Leeds vs Nott'm Forest

Leeds United
57.7%
Draw
23.1%
Nottingham Forest
19.2%
156
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2pm
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Leeds
Johnson (14')
Danilo (30'), Boly (52'), Williams (55'), Surridge (90+1')

Struijk (13'), Wober (77')
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Nott'm Forest
4-2
Leeds
Colback (5', 69'), Murphy (72'), Osborn (76')
Robinson (14'), Darikwa (81')
Clarke (52'), Alioski (64')
Phillips (42')
Oct 27, 2018 5.30pm
Leeds
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Roofe (82')
Phillips (63')
Robinson (11')
Grabban (61'), Colback (68'), Carvalho (88'), Dias (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
19Leicester CityLeicester2845192562-3717
20Southampton2823232068-489


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