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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Nottingham Forest logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Harrison (20'), Sinisterra (45+1')
Summerville (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mangala (12')
Williams (8'), Johnson (65'), Felipe (84'), Kouyate (89')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United climb out of the Premier League relegation zone after coming from behind to beat Nottingham Forest 2-1 at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 4-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
54.71% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 24.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.28% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.71% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)50.29% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.76% (-0.026 -0.03)72.24% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.27% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)49.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)74.96% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 54.71%
    Nottingham Forest 21.28%
    Draw 24%
Leeds UnitedDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 6.98% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 21.28%

How you voted: Leeds vs Nott'm Forest

Leeds United
57.7%
Draw
23.1%
Nottingham Forest
19.2%
156
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 2pm
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Leeds
Johnson (14')
Danilo (30'), Boly (52'), Williams (55'), Surridge (90+1')

Struijk (13'), Wober (77')
Aug 10, 2019 12.30pm
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Nott'm Forest
4-2
Leeds
Colback (5', 69'), Murphy (72'), Osborn (76')
Robinson (14'), Darikwa (81')
Clarke (52'), Alioski (64')
Phillips (42')
Oct 27, 2018 5.30pm
Leeds
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Roofe (82')
Phillips (63')
Robinson (11')
Grabban (61'), Colback (68'), Carvalho (88'), Dias (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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