Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.