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Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Leicester logo

Newcastle
2 - 0
Leicester

Burn (60'), Joelinton (72')
Longstaff (37'), Burn (38'), Botman (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (62'), Ndidi (67')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Dan Burn and Joelinton guide Newcastle United to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Leicester City, which secures their passage to the EFL Cup semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
45.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)45.66% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.02% (0.023 0.02)67.98% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (0.021999999999998 0.02)52.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.19% (0.012 0.01)28.81% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.34% (0.013999999999996 0.01)64.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 45.91%
    Leicester City 29.55%
    Draw 24.53%
Newcastle UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.91%
1-1 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.98%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.55%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Leicester

Newcastle United
68.4%
Draw
12.3%
Leicester City
19.3%
187
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 17, 2022 2.15pm
Newcastle
2-1
Leicester
Guimaraes (30', 90+5')
Krafth (84'), Guimaraes (90+5')
Lookman (19')
Amartey (1'), Mendy (90+6')
Dec 12, 2021 2pm
Leicester
4-0
Newcastle
Tielemans (38' pen., 81'), Daka (57'), Maddison (85')
Castagne (11'), Soyuncu (64')

Lewis (24'), Manquillo (70'), Saint-Maximin (90')
May 7, 2021 8pm
Leicester
2-4
Newcastle
Albrighton (80'), Iheanacho (87')
Iheanacho (72')
Willock (22'), Dummett (34'), Wilson (64', 73')
Krafth (56')
Jan 3, 2021 2.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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