Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 88.34%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Everton had a probability of 3.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.