Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
59.72% ( -0.31) | 21.82% ( 0.12) | 18.46% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.13% ( -0.21) | 44.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.78% ( -0.2) | 67.22% ( 0.2) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% ( -0.17) | 14.62% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.26% ( -0.32) | 42.74% ( 0.32) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.93% ( 0.09) | 38.06% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.17% ( 0.09) | 74.83% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Arsenal | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 43 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Aston Villa | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 35 |
8 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
11 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 26 |
13 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
14 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 24 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 47 | -34 | 6 |
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