Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: O Elvas 2-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, January 12 at 2pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Boavista 1-3 Arouca
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca
With disappointment from their surprise cup exit lingering in the air, Vitoria de Guimaraes will be looking to regain some pride this weekend and snap their five-game winless run in the league. Off the back of a solid display against Boavista, we expect Arouca to put up a fight at the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques, but we fancy Freire's side to prove tough to crack in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Arouca |
49.16% ( 0.14) | 24.04% ( -0.52) | 26.8% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 56.6% ( 2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
