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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Sporting Lisbon

Chaves
2 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Teixeira (34'), Hernandez (90+6')
Cruz (51'), Sylla (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Goncalves (8' pen., 61'), Santos (70')
Goncalves (20'), Ugarte (68'), Bellerin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Chaves
Friday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting Lisbon have put together a fine run of form away from home, claiming four wins and one draw in their last six matches. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Leoes to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawSporting Lisbon
15.75% (0.696 0.7) 21.4% (0.619 0.62) 62.85% (-1.316 -1.32)
Both teams to score 48.68% (-0.325 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-1.291 -1.29)47.65% (1.288 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-1.203 -1.2)69.85% (1.201 1.2)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.97% (0.162 0.16)43.03% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.68% (0.136 0.14)79.32% (-0.139 -0.14)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.821 -0.82)14.55% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-1.601 -1.6)42.6% (1.598 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 15.75%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.84%
    Draw 21.4%
ChavesDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.28% (0.301 0.3)
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.141 0.14)
2-0 @ 2.23% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.21% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 15.75%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.283 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.4%
0-1 @ 12.07% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.47% (-0.264 -0.26)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-4 @ 3.6% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.187 -0.19)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 62.84%

How you voted: Chaves vs Sporting Lisbon

Chaves
14.5%
Draw
16.9%
Sporting Lisbon
68.7%
83
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Chaves

Edwards (36'), Ugarte (45+3'), Goncalves (66'), Morita (73'), Coates (90+4')
Vitoria (60'), Juninho (63')
Pina (67'), Euller (82')
Fernandes (90+4')
Mar 30, 2019 6pm
Chaves
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Luis (60')
Jefferson (34'), Luis (40'), Niltinho (99'), Martins (99')
Jefferson (52')
Phellype (23', 101'), Fernandes (80')
Gudelj (37'), Gaspar (99')
Ristovski (87')
Nov 11, 2018 8pm
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Chaves
Dost (23', 86' pen.)
Gudelj (45')
Niltinho (81')
William (83'), Paulinho (94')
Gallo (71')
Mar 12, 2018 7pm
Chaves
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Platiny (91' pen.)
Dost (62', 86')
Ruiz (92')
Oct 22, 2017 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Chaves
Dost (5', 15', 74'), Acuna (39', 58')
Martins (30')
Davidson (90')
Tiba (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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