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Sporting Lisbon
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Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2023 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Braga

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Braga

Morita (9', 46'), Edwards (61'), Reis (86'), Goncalves (90+3' pen.)
Coates (77'), Coates (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Niakate (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Braga

With both sides looking to strengthen their positions in the upper echelons of the table and their stakes for a place in the Champions League, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting Lisbon have won each of their last six home games in the league, but we are backing Jorge's side to end this run and leave with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
47.51% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09) 24.94% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 27.55% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.25% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (0.162 0.16)48.58% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.29% (0.145 0.15)70.7% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)20.49% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (0.038000000000004 0.04)52.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.23% (0.17399999999999 0.17)31.77% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.8% (0.194 0.19)68.2% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 47.5%
    Braga 27.55%
    Draw 24.93%
Sporting LisbonDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.55%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Braga

Sporting Lisbon
53.8%
Draw
23.1%
Braga
23.1%
65
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Braga
Inacio (4'), Paulinho (7'), Goncalves (20' pen.), Trincao (41'), Edwards (45+4' pen.)

Silva (3')
Aug 7, 2022 6pm
Braga
3-3
Sporting Lisbon
Banza (14'), Niakate (45+1'), Ruiz (88')
Niakate (22'), Elmusrati (24')
Goncalves (9'), Santos (18'), Edwards (83')
Nunes (68'), Goncalves (74')
Jan 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Braga
Goncalves (24')
Sarabia (45'), Coates (51'), Nunes (90+1')
Galeno (52' pen.), Gorby (90+7')
Castro (57'), Ruiz (90+2'), Hornicek (90+7'), Magalhaes (90+9')
Aug 14, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ruiz (90+2')
Silva (22'), Fransergio (37'), Galeno (69')
Cabral (40'), Goncalves (50')
Coates (57'), Reis (70'), Adan (90+4')
Reis (80')
Jul 31, 2021 8.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Braga
Cabral (29'), Goncalves (43')
Palhinha (17'), Goncalves (44'), Nunes (49')
Fransergio (20')
Fransergio (45+2'), Tormena (62'), Sequeira (87'), Novais (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2581072826234
10Rio AveRio Ave2578102740-1329
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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