Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.18% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( 0.25) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.3% ( -0.81) | 50.7% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.4% ( -0.72) | 72.6% ( 0.72) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.35% ( -0.36) | 45.65% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.55% ( -0.28) | 81.45% ( 0.28) |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( -0.72) | 44.47% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.18% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |