Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for AVS had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | AVS |
38.45% ( 0.67) | 25.28% ( 0.15) | 36.26% ( -0.82) |
Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.01% ( -0.73) | 46.99% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -0.68) | 69.23% ( 0.68) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( 0.03) | 24.09% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( 0.04) | 58.38% ( -0.04) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( -0.79) | 25.28% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.95% ( -1.1) | 60.05% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.45% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.75% Total : 36.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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