Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
41.94% ( 0.17) | 27.06% ( 0.06) | 31% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.51% ( -0.29) | 55.48% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.33% ( -0.24) | 76.67% ( 0.24) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( -0.05) | 26.11% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( -0.06) | 61.17% ( 0.06) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.18% ( -0.31) | 32.81% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% ( -0.35) | 69.38% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
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