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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Rio Ave

AVS
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Lopes (72')
Grau (15'), Assuncao (47'), Lopes (73'), Ochoa (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Panzo (26'), Patrick (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 AVS
Saturday, August 31 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Sunday, September 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: AVS 1-1 Rio Ave

Excluding this season's expected losses to Sporting and Porto, Rio Ave have typically found ways to avoid losing on their travels despite the failure to win on the road in 2023-24. Having played out six consecutive draws to end the previous campaign, another stalemate is likely against an AVS side that have been hard to play against on their turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.

Result
AVSDrawRio Ave
49.04% (0.229 0.23) 26.41% (-0.052 -0.05) 24.55% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 47.29% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.56% (0.07 0.07)56.44% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.058999999999997 0.06)77.45% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (0.136 0.14)23.07% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (0.19600000000001 0.2)56.91% (-0.19 -0.19)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.48% (-0.115 -0.12)38.52% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.73% (-0.111 -0.11)75.27% (0.116 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AVS 49.04%
    Rio Ave 24.55%
    Draw 26.41%
AVSDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: AVS vs Rio Ave

AVS
38.5%
Draw
46.2%
Rio Ave
15.4%
13
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Porto1512123692737
2Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
3Benfica1411213482635
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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