Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AVS win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AVS in this match.
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
49.04% ( 0.23) | 26.41% ( -0.05) | 24.55% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.56% ( 0.07) | 56.44% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.06) | 77.45% ( -0.05) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.93% ( 0.14) | 23.07% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.09% ( 0.2) | 56.91% ( -0.19) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% ( -0.12) | 38.52% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.73% ( -0.11) | 75.27% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.04% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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