Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
50.88% | 24.29% ( 0.03) | 24.82% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.08% ( -0.18) | 47.91% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.9% ( -0.16) | 70.09% ( 0.16) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( -0.07) | 18.84% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.71% ( -0.11) | 50.29% ( 0.11) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( -0.12) | 33.61% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.74% ( -0.14) | 70.25% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Portimonense |
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.88% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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