Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Marseille 4-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League
Tuesday, October 4 at 6pm in Champions League
We said: Santa Clara 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Off the back of a disappointing Champions League defeat, Sporting Lisbon will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction. They have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we predict that they will extend their dominance over the hosts in what should be a convincing victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
24.27% ( 0.04) | 23.61% ( 0.12) | 52.11% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
