Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.