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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Feb 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 3
Al Kholood

Al-Oboud (35'), Bergwijn (45+9' pen., 63'), Kadesh (47')
Bergwijn (67'), Al-Oboud (76'), Kante (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Troost-Ekong (15'), Maolida (23', 90+2')
Al Shamrani (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Kholood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 2-1 Al Ittihad
Monday, January 27 at 2.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Kholood 2-1 Al Raed
Saturday, January 25 at 1.50pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 4-1 Al Kholood

Despite Al Kholood's resurgence, Al Ittihad remain favourites due to their strong form this season, with their recent defeat seen as a mere blip, and we expect them to return to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Kholood
55.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 23.08% (0.158 0.16) 21.76% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 54.09% (-0.748 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14% (-0.884 -0.88)45.87% (0.88500000000001 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82% (-0.846 -0.85)68.18% (0.846 0.85)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (-0.31599999999999 -0.32)16.49% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.78% (-0.572 -0.57)46.22% (0.573 0.57)
Al Kholood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-0.646 -0.65)35.23% (0.647 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02% (-0.682 -0.68)71.98% (0.68300000000001 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 55.16%
    Al Kholood 21.76%
    Draw 23.07%
Al IttihadDrawAl Kholood
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.154 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.216 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.06% (0.122 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Kholood

Al Ittihad
Draw
Al Kholood
Al Ittihad
91.7%
Draw
0.0%
Al Kholood
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.10pm
Gameweek 1
Al Kholood
0-1
Al Ittihad

Dieng (73')
Aouar (90+4')
Kadesh (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad27205263263765
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal26183573314257
3Al-Nassr26166456282854
4Al Quadisiya26164638221652
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli26154750272349
6Al ShababAl Shabab27154852312149
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun2610792924537
8Al Ettifaq26106103337-436
9Al Riyadh2697102735-834
10Al Khaleej2696113238-633
11Al Kholood2794143451-1731
12Damac2777133042-1228
13Al Fayha26511101933-1426
14Al Orubah2782172253-3126
15Al Okhdood2665152640-1423
16Al Fateh2665152850-2223
17Al WahdaAl Wahda2765163257-2523
18Al RaedAl Raed2653182948-1918


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