MX23RW : Monday, March 10 21:13:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 4.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Wahda

Gabriel (41'), Ronaldo (56' pen.)
Otavio (45+4'), Bento (74'), Al Hassan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakshween (23')
Bakshween (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-3 Al-Nassr
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Nassr 3-1 Al Wahda

While Al-Nassr have not been in full flight this season, their record in this fixture is difficult to ignore, and given their star-studded lineup, we feel the Knights of Najd will secure a fairly straightforward victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
74.23% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 15.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02) 10.49% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.606 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.50800000000001 0.51)31.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.593 0.59)53.33% (-0.595 -0.59)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)7.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)40.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.524 0.52)77.42% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.23%
    Al Wahda 10.49%
    Draw 15.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.058 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.23%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Al Wahda
3.9%
51
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Nassr
6-0
Al Wahda
Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad24184257233458
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal24173470284254
3Al Quadisiya24163537201751
4Al-Nassr24146450262448
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli24153647232448
6Al ShababAl Shabab24124841301140
7Al Ettifaq2410593234-235
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun249782722534
9Al Riyadh249692633-733
10Al Kholood2494113344-1131
11Al Khaleej2486103035-530
12Al Orubah2482142244-2226
13Damac2466122941-1224
14Al Fayha24410101632-1622
15Al Fateh2454152448-2419
16Al RaedAl Raed2453162743-1618
17Al Okhdood2445152339-1617
18Al WahdaAl Wahda2445152854-2617


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