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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)
Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Al-Nassr

Al Hassan (90' og.)
Bonaventura (28'), Al-Sibyani (45'), Hamdallah (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Laporte (69'), Ronaldo (90+7' pen.)
Al-Najdi (31'), Talisca (50'), Alawjami (79'), Simakan (90+5')
Simakan (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Shabab
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 3-0 Al Orubah
Saturday, October 5 at 4.15pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Shabab 0-2 Al-Nassr

Al Shabab have been consistent this season, but they have lacked clinical finishing, scoring over one goal in only one game so far, and this could be their downfall against an Al-Nassr team that boasts the third-best attack in the league and has dominated this fixture in recent years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
25% (0.562 0.56) 22.5% (0.215 0.22) 52.49% (-0.782 -0.78)
Both teams to score 60.11% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.23% (-0.452 -0.45)39.76% (0.448 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.88% (-0.471 -0.47)62.12% (0.466 0.47)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (0.19900000000001 0.2)29.07% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.01% (0.246 0.25)64.99% (-0.25 -0.25)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.75% (-0.42 -0.42)15.24% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.08% (-0.794 -0.79)43.91% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 25%
    Al-Nassr 52.49%
    Draw 22.5%
Al ShababDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.11 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.47% (0.143 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.107 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 25%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.34% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.84% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.75% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.86% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.76% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.49%

How you voted: Al Shabab vs Al-Nassr

Al Shabab
13.5%
Draw
3.8%
Al-Nassr
82.7%
52
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Al Shabab
2-3
Al-Nassr
Carrasco (45+8' pen.), Carlos (67')
Carrasco (26'), Saiss (51'), Al-Sharari (88'), Radif (90+6')
Radif (90+12')
Ronaldo (21' pen.), Talisca (46', 86')
Laporte (45+5'), Boushal (90+6')
Aug 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al-Nassr
4-0
Al Shabab
Ronaldo (13' pen., 38' pen.), Mane (41'), Al-Ghanam (80')
Mane (43'), Boushal (89')

Alsebyani (29'), Al-Sharari (33'), Cuellar (37'), Santos (43'), Babhir (77')
Banega (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad24184257233458
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal24173470284254
3Al Quadisiya24163537201751
4Al-Nassr24146450262448
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli24153647232448
6Al ShababAl Shabab24124841301140
7Al Ettifaq2410593234-235
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun249782722534
9Al Riyadh249692633-733
10Al Kholood2494113344-1131
11Al Khaleej2486103035-530
12Al Orubah2482142244-2226
13Damac2466122941-1224
14Al Fayha24410101632-1622
15Al Fateh2454152448-2419
16Al RaedAl Raed2453162743-1618
17Al Okhdood2445152339-1617
18Al WahdaAl Wahda2445152854-2617


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