Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.