Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.