Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
47.75% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() | 27.65% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.4% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.9% (![]() | 47.1% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.66% (![]() | 69.34% (![]() |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.21% (![]() | 19.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.15% (![]() | 51.85% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% (![]() | 30.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% (![]() | 67.22% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Ayr United |
1-0 @ 9.92% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 11.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.12% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.18% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.22% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.65% ( ![]() Other @ 2.94% Total : 27.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |