Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
54.91% (![]() | 24.19% (![]() | 20.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.42% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.53% (![]() | 51.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.72% (![]() | 73.28% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.36% (![]() | 18.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.05% (![]() | 49.95% (![]() |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.74% (![]() | 39.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.03% (![]() | 75.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 12.29% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.32% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.65% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.49% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.32% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.4% Total : 20.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 60 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 54 |
3 | Livingston | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 54 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 34 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 27 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | 53 | -30 | 20 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |